Iran Iran

The recent landslide victory in Iran is the latest high profile story to hit the international political scene. Mahmoud Ahmedinejad, driving out the much hyped Rafsanjani turned out to be embarrassing for the western media channels, all of which made Rafsanjani out to be some sort of balancing act that the rest of the world needed in order to co-exist peacefully and free from a potential nuclear conflict. It is debatable how much Rafsanjani would have been able to influence the Shura council in pleasing the west but the Americans were certainly convinced of his abilities.

The real issue here is the fact that more than 60% of Iranians turned up to vote and treated the elections very seriously and the fact that they brought Ahmedinejad to power should also be treated very seriously. The Iranian nation historically has proved to be a strongly nationalist entity and their drawn out war with Iraq, the revolution and dealing with a hostile and aggressive America poised at their frontier is a discomforting thought for most Iranians. Therefore, it should not appear surprising that Iranians are moving towards a harder shelled leader who will take a stand against the US. It should never be perceived that Iran would be as easy a walk in the park as Iraq was. The initial thrust of the US blitzkrieg would meet with much greater resistance and the ‘insurgency’ to follow would be like something never seen by the Americans before. The real Vietnam lies northeast of Babylon.

With both its hands tied up in Iraq, the US is highly unlikely to mount a campaign in Iran although over the past couple of years the US has made several attempts. CIA hand was suspected in the voting station bombings in the south west of Iran as well as the Tehran students’ rebellion a couple of years ago. Universities in Iran have been the focal point of societal change and the revolution gained impetus from campuses as well. In 2002 students in Tehran hit the streets and immediately received unprecedented support by the US and western media. Wide media coverage and kissing up to the students didn’t really pay off and the US was told off and asked not to meddle in the affairs of the students. What really bothered the American’s was that this was not the government telling them off but the students didn’t appreciate US involvement. It takes a little more than McDonalds, MTV culture and ‘land of opportunity’ propaganda to woo Iranian students who are socially and politically very aware of their country and the world they inhabit. The US is myopic in its dealings with Iran and must understand that the Islamist rule the country sternly and harshly at times but they still have had a landslide mandate since the revolution and two days ago they showed it yet again.

Western corporate media and the US would have the world think that the major issue of the current elections has been ‘rigging’. It is highly unlikely that such highly publicized elections were rigged. Given the levels of public awareness and political activity amongst Iranians had the elections been rigged, the western media would not have missed even a two man protest and made it out to be thousands protesting, just as they manipulated camera footage in Venezuela. Iranians didn’t even give western media that much of space to spin webs in. The main issue surrounding the current election has been Iran attempt in acquiring nuclear arms and in finding strategic partners in the region. India has been a willing partner in the situation where it is surrounded by the US from all sides. Israel has also had a field day since the ‘war of terror’ as it has managed to get after top leadership of resistance groups. Iran finds itself more and more suffocated and finds no alternative but to brace itself for any eventuality by acquiring nuclear weapons, to strike alliances where ever possible such as with India and to pick a fighter of the revolution, one who played a pivotal role in occupying the US embassy in 1979, as the next president.

On the diplomatic front it has scored quite well. It has managed to step out of the firing line by involving the EU in the nuclear issue. Ever since Russia politely removed itself from the equation, the EU has filled the vacuum and its involvement has ensured that they US is kept at Bay.

These are tough times for Iran. Its national security is at risk and it cannot but make certain that the insurgency in Iraq does not subside. Its only guarantee for survival is the further entrenchment of the US in the Iraqi quagmire. With two of its greatest enemies, Israel and America, parked next door, Iran is warming up to some grim times ahead with Ahmedinejad in the driving seat.